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The Duran is a news-media platform that advances a realpolitik position The Duran is not right, left or center. It is a media site that focuses on a pragmatic analysis of stories in the news.
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Russia, 10 steps ahead of the 4 Plus 1.

The 4 Plus 1 (Macron, Starmer, Merz, Tusk + Trump) thought they had Putin boxed in by creating a photo+media spectacle in Kiev, around what was essentially the Kellogg Freeze Plan presented two weeks ago in London.

The 4 Plus 1 did what they do best, media trickery. They pushed a plan that masked Minsk 3. They pushed a plan that Russia publicly turned down hundreds of times. They ignored discussing Russia's publically stated terms, June 2024 root causes.

For the first time in history, the losing side in a war believed they were dictating terms, and winning. An ultimatum demanded Russia agree to a 30 day unconditional ceasefire or face Lindsey Graham bone crushing sanctions.

They took instagram photos, 4 European leaders with Churchill #2, walking the streets of Kiev, confident in their geopolitical brillance. Trump fully backed their efforts via phone call, all of it was captured on video.

Then Putin gave his late night speech (western media seated up front) and completely outclassed the 4 Plus 1. Putin skillfully rejected the ceasefire ultimatum, presenting his case why Ukraine was incapable of honoring any ceasefire agreement. Putin called for Russia-Ukraine direct negotiations "without any preconditions" in Istanbul, where the previous 2022 negotiations were held and a ceasefire agreed, until Zelensky and Bojo broke that deal.

Putin is 10 steps ahead of the 4 Plus 1. Now we know why Russia went along with Trump's 30 day energy ceaseefire, why Russia held a one day Easter ceasefire, and why the 3 day Victory Day ceasefire was called. Putin was building his case, knowing the west and its proxy would never honor a ceasefire...one day, three days or thirty days.

Russia patiently waited for the Europeans and Zelensky to pull the ceasefire ultimatum stunt we witnessed in Kiev. The big disappointment in all of this was Trump's very public, full backing of the Kellogg ceasefire plan. Trump revealed himself. Now Russia, and the world, knows exactly where everyone stands. Next week, Istanbul 2.0...ball is in your court, 4 Plus 1.

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WILL RUSSIA LOSE THE PEACE? (Part 2)

If so, then any Western plans that depend on inciting an insurgency to bog down and weaken Russia in Ukraine may be ill-conceived and based on a whole set of wrong assumptions. As Putin never tires to point out, Russia and Ukraine have a long shared history and the commonalities between them as eastern Slav nations are profound. It is far from impossible that a reabsorption of Ukraine, including its western regions, even including Lviv, back into Russia might be long lasting and successful. If so then any Western plans to lure Russia westwards in order to bog it down or weaken it might end up producing the opposite result. They might instead lead to the permanent enlargement of Russia and the disappearance of Ukraine.

Since I presume this is not an outcome the West wants, by far its better course is to negotiate a compromise whilst there is still a Ukraine left. That does not however seem to be a course the West is inclined to follow.

WILL RUSSIA LOSE THE PEACE? (Part 1)

By Alexander Mercouris

Recent Russian breakthroughs on the Ukrainian battlefronts, and in particular the encirclement of large numbers of Ukrainian troops in the towns of Kupiansk and Pokrovsk, have now brought the full Russian conquest and liberation of Donbas into sight, bringing closer the end of the war.

Whilst there continues to be speculation about a possible eventual diplomatic outcome, the disastrous failure of the Trump administration’s outreach to Moscow, and the implacable opposition of the Europeans and the Zelensky government to any diplomatic outcome, makes that outcome now extremely unlikely.

In the event that there is no negotiated settlement few now doubt that the result will be a Russian military victory. Apparently this possibility was for the first time conceded in a debate in the British House of Lords, which is a part of the British Parliament.

This outcome may be much closer than is widely realised.

Since the summer of 2022, after Ukraine walked back its initial apparent agreement to the Istanbul settlement, the war has ...

FROM THE DESK OF DMITRI MEDVEDEV:

Zugzwang of the Green Goblin

(Zudzwang is a chess term where you must move, but any move will result in loss.)

The Green Goblin has predictably fallen into zugzwang. Every day brings a worsening of his position on the board.

The encirclement of troops potentially threatens to collapse the entire front line. And then, look, more territorial losses.

The energy sector is in a deepening collapse, caused by Russian strikes. There's still power, but it's intermittent. Heat is scarce.

The corruption case of Mindich, a wallet-grubber driven mad by impunity, threatens to completely disfigure the image of a hero fearlessly fighting for the country's freedom. To maintain this bright image, a trip to the frontline zone with a deeply personal partner beginning with the letter "E" is urgently organized. Like, here we are, fearless guys, not stealing like some, but fighting for the Motherland. Will the unfortunates driven to their positions by the TCC believe them? The answer is ...

June 17, 2024
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A quick commentary on the "Piss Summit"
I might not be able to upload much more or do lives for a while

My Fellow Duranianss.

Yes, it's happened again. I have been assaulted by a vicious Malware Bot Virus or whatever 911 Socks is and this thing is bad ! 

However I wanted to give you a "peace" of my mind concerning the "Piece" or piss, as Elensky calls it, as this thing fell to pieces before it even happened.

Coincidentally on the very SAME DAY  this crap happened Saudi Arabia DROPPED the US Petrodollar as a buying currency and NO ONE absolutely NO ONE is talking about this fact anywhere !!!

 

Hope to see you all asap.

 

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September 29, 2023
Locals Community Private Telegram Messaging

Locals will be sunsetting the private messaging feature throughout the Locals website. In order to keep our private messaging active we have created a private Telegram messaging group called 'The Duran Locals.'

This is a private channel open only to our Locals subscriber community. In the private Telegram group you can send a message to the group or a private message to Alex or Alexander via a direct Telegram message. 

You can access Telegram for web, desktop or mobile here: https://telegram.org/

The link for this Telegram group is below (can be viewed by community subscribers).

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