The Duran
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The Duran is a news-media platform that advances a realpolitik position The Duran is not right, left or center. It is a media site that focuses on a pragmatic analysis of stories in the news.
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The one common thread tying Trump’s theatrical bravados points in one direction – China.

His moves on Venezuela and Iran are squarely aimed at choke holding China’s oil supply. Beijing buys over 80% of Venezuela’s oil exports and 90% of Iran’s.

If the US and Israel subdue Iran in a military conquest, the impact on the Gulf region will be profound. The Gulf sheiks will be completely under the thumbs of the US and Zionist interests.

And China buys a lot of oil from the Gulf.

In addition to an oil blockade, the US is also using open-sea piracy to disrupt China’s global commerce.

To justify his plan to annex Greenland, Trump blatantly lies about Chinese influence in Greenland, saying “the place is full of Russian and Chinese ships”.

The lie is patently ridiculous.

China’s total trade with Greenland in 2024 was $383 million, about 0.006% of China’s total foreign trade.

China imports $377 million worth of Greenland fish and crustacean products. It exports $6 million worth of commodities, rubber and toys.

So what Chinese ships are all over Greenland?

The invocation of China and Russia in the context of Greenland has nothing to do with their presence on the ground or influence over the island.

It is about blocking any potential Arctic routes for Russia and China...

The odds are heavily in China’s favor in a conflict with the US and its vassals in Western Pacific.

Taiwan still supplies 80-90% of the most advanced chips globally from the TSMC fabs in Hsinchu. If Washington wants to stranglehold oil supply, Beijing can cut it off semiconductors.

Even if these fabs are destroyed, the loss to China is limited. After all, China has already been denied the most advanced TSMC chips by US coercion. It is making rapid progress to develop its own chip supply chains.

On the other hand, the impact on US tech industry will be enormous. Perhaps fatal.

https://huabinoliver.substack.com/p/china-to-get-ready-for-war-with-the

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Clown World of the Year Awards - 2025

It's that time of year, vote now for the Locals Choice for Clown World of the Year - 2025.

Poll limit of 8, so please add in the comments sections choices that may not appear in this poll. Some additional nominees: Pam Bondi, Kash Patel, Ursula von der Leyen, Donald Tusk, Alexander Stubb, Annalena Baerbock, Al Jolani.

NO Alexander Mercouris Live Stream Today 14th January 2026

First of all, I should apologise because at the end of last week's Live Stream I said that I looked forward to meeting everyone who had participated in that Live Stream today. However, when I said that, I made a mistake thinking that 14th January 2026 was yesterday instead of today.

14th January 2026 is my wife Catherine's birthday and of course I must take her out to celebrate.

I am therefore rescheduling this week's Live Stream to Friday 16th January 2026 at our usual times.

Again, my apologies to everyone, and speak to you on Friday.

Live chatted 23 hours ago
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Regime change escalator w/ Robert Barnes (Live)
June 17, 2024
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A quick commentary on the "Piss Summit"
I might not be able to upload much more or do lives for a while

My Fellow Duranianss.

Yes, it's happened again. I have been assaulted by a vicious Malware Bot Virus or whatever 911 Socks is and this thing is bad ! 

However I wanted to give you a "peace" of my mind concerning the "Piece" or piss, as Elensky calls it, as this thing fell to pieces before it even happened.

Coincidentally on the very SAME DAY  this crap happened Saudi Arabia DROPPED the US Petrodollar as a buying currency and NO ONE absolutely NO ONE is talking about this fact anywhere !!!

 

Hope to see you all asap.

 

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September 29, 2023
Locals Community Private Telegram Messaging

Locals will be sunsetting the private messaging feature throughout the Locals website. In order to keep our private messaging active we have created a private Telegram messaging group called 'The Duran Locals.'

This is a private channel open only to our Locals subscriber community. In the private Telegram group you can send a message to the group or a private message to Alex or Alexander via a direct Telegram message. 

You can access Telegram for web, desktop or mobile here: https://telegram.org/

The link for this Telegram group is below (can be viewed by community subscribers).

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