Larry Johnson:
Iran has taken delivery by sea of a substantial shipment of CM‑302 supersonic anti‑ship cruise missiles from China, along with a large consignment of very advanced radar equipment from Russia. These systems are already on Iranian soil. In combination, they materially enhance
Iran’s ability not only to defend its own airspace and coastline, but also to conduct offensive operations against major surface combatants, including large warships and carrier groups.
The CM‑302 is designed as a “carrier‑killer” class weapon: high‑speed, sea‑skimming, and optimized for attacking large naval targets in congested waters. Paired with upgraded long‑range and over‑the‑horizon radar from Russia, Iran’s kill chain—from detection and tracking to targeting and engagement—becomes markedly more robust. The result is a far more credible anti‑access/area‑denial posture in and around the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz than even a year ago.
The cost, risk, and uncertainty associated with a large‑scale offensive have all increased.
https://sonar21.com/trump-wants-to-attack-iran-but-does-saudi-arabia-hold-the-keys/
