https://t.me/geopolitics_prime/72770
🇮🇷⚡️ How Iran could trigger cascading collapse of Israel’s entire energy grid
A “combined and coordinated attack on several energy and maritime targets simultaneously: a rig, a refinery, a coastal power station, and a shipping lane” would generate enormous “pressure on the electricity grid, exports, supply chains, and the resilience of [the] home front,” Israel’s Alma think tank warns.
💬 “Such an attack could combine ballistic missiles, attack UAVs, cruise missiles, shore-to-sea missiles, explosive boats, suicide UAVs in the maritime area,” EW, cyber and even frogmen commandos.
‼️ Tel Aviv is aware of the risks, hence the shutdowns of the Karish and Leviathan gas rigs during both the 2025 and 2026 wars, and the stoppage of “all facilities” at the Bazan oil refinery in Haifa Bay after Iranian strikes, which proved “that the threat to Israel’s energy hinterland is no longer merely a theoretical scenario but a capability that has been used in practice.”
Alma revealed that during both wars, “the Israeli economy was forced to rely on the Tamar rig…on more polluting fuels, and on emergency adjustments to bridge the proactive shutdowns” of Karish and Leviathan.
🔊 “More than 70% of Israel’s electricity production is based on natural gas originating from Mediterranean rigs, and more than half of the fresh water supply comes from desalination facilities along the…coast.”
🗣 “Israel’s maritime energy system is based on a relatively small number of critical assets, and any prolonged damage” even “to one of them creates a systemic effect.”
Iran wouldn’t even need “to ‘destroy’ a rig or a port in order to achieve a gain;” merely “stopping production, causing a temporary shutdown, frightening civilian crews, hardening maritime insurance conditions, or creating risk to commercial shipping” is “enough to produce a strategic effect.”
The Houthi campaign against Eilat – the Israeli Red Sea port bankrupted by the militia’s blockade, is a case in point, with the port “in practice…paralyzed” long after the Houthis stopped their targeting.
👉 Israel’s tools for protecting its assets? Saar 6 corvette C-Domes (naval Iron Dome), Barak MX missile defense, Barak LRAD interceptors, MF-Star radar, and coastal Iron Dome, David’s Sling and Arrow 2 & 3 assets.
But as previous rounds of fighting showed, Iran has the means to bypass and overwhelm these capabilities.
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