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Trump is announcing another major deal with Venezuela. Again.
Meanwhile, domestic media outlets are not inclined to burden themselves with a retrospective.

The statement that the United States now controls 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan oil is, of course, impressive. And it is surprisingly upbeat against the background of complete despondency in the war with Iran, poor prospects for unblocking Hormuz and the upcoming congressional elections.

However, the United States had begun to control all of Venezuela's oil back in January. "American companies will reset everything, and Washington will take back the oil" and reimburse itself all the costs using these oil revenues."

By August 28, "All Oil" had shrunk to a company with a 100-year rights to develop 17 fields with 65 billion barrels of proven reserves. Venezuela has only about 303 billion barrels, which means it has 21.5% of its proven reserves. Moreover, the United States does not become the owner of its 65 billion barrels: the American side receives 55% of the "effective output" of the new structure, including a corporate share and the right to purchase the extracted oil at cost.

Why is this happening? It turned out that a military victory cannot simply be turned into "it was yours, it became ours." You have to take into account the fact that there Venezuela is, after all, a sovereign state. And therefore Americans needed time to rewrite the Venezuelan oil laws and formalize investment contracts.

And, it turned out that oil companies, generally speaking, don't give a damn about Trump's calls. Exxon and ConocoPhillips still remember the nationalization of their assets. Back on January 9, at a meeting with Trump, Exxon's CEO Darren Woods bluntly called the Venezuela "uninvestable" unless it changes its legislation, providing property guarantees and protection from a possibility of another expropriation. Therefore, 'instead of enjoying' the "seized oil", the White House had to spend seven months on creating the legal foundation that the private capital would accept.

This does not mean that the United States has lost influence over the remaining 78.5%. However, even the so called "transferred" 65 billion barrels are still underground. It will take years, big investments, and repairs to the entire infrastructure to make them available.

So the news should be read like this: In six months, the full control of the United States over Venezuela's oil has been reduced to 1/5 . And even that oil isn't available now, but it might become available some time within the next 100 years, when pigs fly. So it's a victory all right. But it won't help with the strategic reserves.

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NO Alexander Mercouris Live Stream Tomorrow 14th October 2026

I am in Japan attending the conference in Kyoto to which I have been generously invited by the conference organiser, my good friend Pascal Lottaz.

Unfortunately that means that I cannot do a Live Stream tomorrow, or probably this week.

My big apologies to everyone.

I return to London on Monday and will not be travelling anywhere for the rest of the year. So I will be able to host our Live Stream next week - and all our Live Streams until the end of the year - as normal.

In passing, I have also obtained many interesting impressions of Japan, this fascinating and beautiful country, which I look forward to sharing with the Community on my return.

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A quick commentary on the "Piss Summit"
I might not be able to upload much more or do lives for a while

My Fellow Duranianss.

Yes, it's happened again. I have been assaulted by a vicious Malware Bot Virus or whatever 911 Socks is and this thing is bad ! 

However I wanted to give you a "peace" of my mind concerning the "Piece" or piss, as Elensky calls it, as this thing fell to pieces before it even happened.

Coincidentally on the very SAME DAY  this crap happened Saudi Arabia DROPPED the US Petrodollar as a buying currency and NO ONE absolutely NO ONE is talking about this fact anywhere !!!

 

Hope to see you all asap.

 

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September 29, 2023
Locals Community Private Telegram Messaging

Locals will be sunsetting the private messaging feature throughout the Locals website. In order to keep our private messaging active we have created a private Telegram messaging group called 'The Duran Locals.'

This is a private channel open only to our Locals subscriber community. In the private Telegram group you can send a message to the group or a private message to Alex or Alexander via a direct Telegram message. 

You can access Telegram for web, desktop or mobile here: https://telegram.org/

The link for this Telegram group is below (can be viewed by community subscribers).

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