How can Trump avoid wrecking shit now?
According to Rybar, what Trump signed:
🔻What does the law entail?
▪️Mandatory sanctions: the US president must impose visa and blocking sanctions against Russian President Vladimir Putin, Russian military personnel, and individuals working for Russia's defense sector.
▪️Tariffs: mandatory increase of tariffs on all imports from Russia to 500% of their value. Additionally, introduction of up to 100% tariffs on five major countries importing Russian oil and gas if they continue purchases after the law takes effect.
▪️Sanctions against the financial sector: blocking sanctions against Russian banks that are partially or fully state-owned.
▪️"Shadow fleet": sanctions against vessels transporting Russian oil, uranium, and coal.
▪️Restrictions for the USA: ban on exporting energy products to Russia, new investments, purchase of Russian government debt, trading shares of state-related Russian companies on US exchanges.
▪️Exceptions: Countries importing less than 15% of gas from Russia and reducing imports are exempt from tariffs.
Under the law, the US president must impose sanctions and tariffs within 30 days of signing. However, Trump retains the right to freeze the application of these measures. To do this, he only needs to send Congress a written notice before the restrictions take effect, stating that waiving sanctions serves US national interests. No separate authorization or legislative vote is required.
📌The law was designed to strangle Russia's export revenues and limit its access to military technology through mandatory tariffs on energy importers and strikes against the "shadow fleet." However, strict enforcement of these measures, especially against India, could provoke global trade complications and retaliatory actions from China.
❗️Ultimately, the new restrictions will intensify long-term economic pressure on Moscow, but are unlikely to become a decisive factor in Trump's strategy to "force Russia to peace." And the president's right to exclude sanctions remains the main factor of uncertainty in this equation."
