The Duran
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The Duran is a news-media platform that advances a realpolitik position The Duran is not right, left or center. It is a media site that focuses on a pragmatic analysis of stories in the news.
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April 14, 2024
Where we are, Israel/Iran...

Iran side:
Iran is celebrating a successful retaliation. They responded to the attack on their Embassy in Syria.
They showcased their military capabilities. They showcased powerful hypersonic missiles. Iran shows it is a force in the region.
Iran saves face.

Israel side:
CNN: "No reports of injuries directly through Iranian strikes" and "Israel's military says 99% of weapons fired by Iran intercepted" and finally "The US assessment is that Iran’s attacks had been largely unsuccessful."
Israel's Air Defense is strong. US Air Defense is strong (MIC sales $$$).
Israel saves face.

US/Biden WH:
Neocons want Iran war. Biden is a neocon, but a neocon trying to get re-elected. Any other time in his Presidency and Biden would be all in...BUT Jake Sullivan who runs Biden's foreign policy is a campaign guy at heart, and he knows war with Iran would sink Biden's re-election. They opted for a calibrated response/defense, with an off-ramp for all sides.

FT hinted that US and Iran are in back-channel talks facilitated by Oman, "Tehran is unlikely to target Israeli diplomatic facilities in the region, said an official briefed on talks between Iran and Oman, the Gulf state that has often facilitated back-channel diplomacy between Tehran and Washington."

Biden WH official readout: "Tomorrow, I will convene my fellow G7 leaders to coordinate a united diplomatic response to Iran’s brazen attack."
KEY WORD is "diplomatic" not military response.

Conclusion:
There is no need for further escalation. A wider war can EASILY be avoided. Everyone can walk away from this claiming a W.

Problem:
Netanyahu, hardliners and neocons (whispering in Bibi's ears), as well as Biden WH mixed messaging.

Israel appears to be going along with the US narrative (for now), but Netanyhu may want to test Biden and launch a strike on Iran. Biden WH said they will not take part in a conflict with Iran, but Biden WH also said their support for Israel is ironclad. MIXED MESSAGING.

Biden has given Netanyahu many blank checks. Bibi may try his luck and cash in another check. Biden said the US will not join Israel in an attack against Iran, but Bibi may want to test that statement, and the neocons will be pushing him to do just that.

👉Long post, but I believe this is where we are.
NO NEED FOR WIDER WAR! This is an easy one to walk away from. All Biden and his team of foreign policy wiz kids need to do is make it very clear that this ends NOW, for all parties involved.

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Kursk cauldron closed. Russian buffer zone Sumy

Kursk cauldron closed. Russian buffer zone Sumy
The Duran: Episode 2170

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Ultimatum to Kiev's Kursk Troops: Surrender By Monday Or Be Destroyed; Starmer Strikes Poses

Ultimatum to Kiev's Kursk Troops: Surrender By Monday Or Be Destroyed; Starmer Strikes Poses
Topic 1487

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Trump, Ukraine surrounded Kursk. Medvedev trashes Lammy. Macron warns Russia. Merz Germany is back

Trump, Ukraine surrounded Kursk. Medvedev trashes Lammy. Macron warns Russia. Merz Germany is back
Topic 1630

00:32:51
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A timeline and a question.

March 6 John Healy UK defense secretary meets with Pete Hegseth his US counterpart

March 10 Marco Rubio makes a quickly planned trip to Riyadh to meet with Ukraine delegation ...topic: Ceasefire

March 10 Steve Witkoff goes to Moscow for an abruptly planned meeting with President Putin.

March 10 the beginning of the fall of Sudzah/ Ukrainian defeat

John Healy met with Pete Hegseth in an abruptly planned meeting on the 6th of March. Topic of discussion: Ukraine. My thinking is Healy met with Hegseth to explain to him the REAL situation on the ground in Kursk. The British, the French, and the Americans as well more than likely have imbedded troops with the Ukrainians. Healy knew that Kursk was dire and that the Russians were closing in.

My guess is they tried to come up with a strategy to remove their men from the situation. I don't need to explain to anyone that finding actual UK US and other troops from other nations inside of Russia is an act of ...

Kursk Frontline Refugees Speak Out: "Ukraine Soldiers Made Life Hell"

In this urgent frontline report, I speak to refugees from Sudzha, Kursk region, who reveal horrifying accounts of war crimes under Ukrainian control. They describe looting, home burnings, execution threats, and forced displacement by Ukrainian soldiers before the region was taken by Russian forces.

June 17, 2024
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A quick commentary on the "Piss Summit"
I might not be able to upload much more or do lives for a while

My Fellow Duranianss.

Yes, it's happened again. I have been assaulted by a vicious Malware Bot Virus or whatever 911 Socks is and this thing is bad ! 

However I wanted to give you a "peace" of my mind concerning the "Piece" or piss, as Elensky calls it, as this thing fell to pieces before it even happened.

Coincidentally on the very SAME DAY  this crap happened Saudi Arabia DROPPED the US Petrodollar as a buying currency and NO ONE absolutely NO ONE is talking about this fact anywhere !!!

 

Hope to see you all asap.

 

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September 29, 2023
Locals Community Private Telegram Messaging

Locals will be sunsetting the private messaging feature throughout the Locals website. In order to keep our private messaging active we have created a private Telegram messaging group called 'The Duran Locals.'

This is a private channel open only to our Locals subscriber community. In the private Telegram group you can send a message to the group or a private message to Alex or Alexander via a direct Telegram message. 

You can access Telegram for web, desktop or mobile here: https://telegram.org/

The link for this Telegram group is below (can be viewed by community subscribers).

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